(Reporter Wang Xiulan) The European Chemical Industry Council (cefic) announced last week that since the beginning of this year, with the continuous economic recovery in Europe, the chemical industry has been rid of the stagnation in the past three years, and the EU chemical industry is expected to remain With modest growth, the total amount of chemicals (excluding pharmaceutical chemicals) is expected to increase by 2.4% over the previous year. Next year, driven by the further recovery of European economic and industrial activities, the growth level of the EU chemical industry is expected to increase, and it is estimated that the growth rate will reach 2.6%. Cefic said that this year the global economy has shown strong growth momentum driven by strong demand in North America and Asia. The economic environment of the next year will still be more favorable. It is only that the level of GDP growth of various countries is expected to slow down compared with this year. In the past three years, the reversal of the European economy has adversely affected the overall industrial environment. This year, the overall business environment in Europe has improved. This situation will continue in the next year, and the performance of the chemical industry will reflect this trend. According to the European Chemical Industry Council, different chemicals have different levels of growth. The growth rate of products that exceeds this year's growth this year are mainly pharmaceutical chemicals. The growth rate is expected to be 4.2%, and this year it is about 3.5%. Petrochemical products will grow 3.6% next year, and this year it will be 2.8. %; Plastics and synthetic rubber, 3.6% next year, this year is 2.5%. There are also some varieties that are expected to grow less than this year. There are mainly household chemicals, its growth rate for next year is expected to be 2.7%, and this year it is 3%; fine chemicals, next year's growth rate is 2.1%, this year is 3.3%; inorganic chemicals, It will be 1.5% next year and 1.8% this year. The EU's pharmaceutical chemicals have performed outstandingly for several consecutive years and have grown at a much higher level than other chemicals. If it is included, the EU's total chemical growth will increase by 0.3% this year to 2.7%, and next year it will reach 3%. The EU chemical industry outlook will also be affected by the following factors. First of all, in the international market, the exchange rate of the US dollar against the Euro has been declining and will continue to have some uncertain influence on the EU's foreign trade environment. Followed by the impact of oil prices. Due to the rapid growth in demand, especially from the strong support of China's demand, coupled with the limited global oil production and some political factors, this year's international oil prices have been rising all the way. If global economic growth slows next year, oil prices are expected to return to the level of 30-35 dollars per barrel. Any factor that affects the oil market supply will certainly cause the oil price to fluctuate accordingly.
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